US Elections - Market Odds
Current Odds
US Senate GOP Control
Bid 81%
Ask 88%
US House GOP Control
Bid 51.6%
Ask 54.2%
Source: tradesports.com
What I find amazing is that
http://www.electoral-vote.com:2006/
is currently predicting a 50-50 senate using recent polling data.
I accept that there may not be a balanced distribution around the midpoint but surely something is way out of line in those odds. Do we go with the futures market or the polling data? Your call. I tend to believe the market.
Be interesting to watch these odds over the coming months.
US Senate GOP Control
Bid 81%
Ask 88%
US House GOP Control
Bid 51.6%
Ask 54.2%
Source: tradesports.com
What I find amazing is that
http://www.electoral-vote.com:2006/
is currently predicting a 50-50 senate using recent polling data.
I accept that there may not be a balanced distribution around the midpoint but surely something is way out of line in those odds. Do we go with the futures market or the polling data? Your call. I tend to believe the market.
Be interesting to watch these odds over the coming months.
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