S.A.S Prediction

I have no time to write a recap tonight, but let's make a prediction before Monday.

4 Left, 2 groups of two.

Let's look at the past voting history.
Rob - Zero votes against
Amber - 6 Votes against
Jenna - Tom put a vote on her tonight (she had 2 in the first episode as well, but Rob & Amber don't know that)
Rupert - Alicia put a vote on him.

If the immunity is won by Jenna or Rupert then Amber goes home.
If the immunity is won by Amber, then Rupert or Jenna goes home (probably Rupert).
If the immunity is won by Rob, then IF he is smart (big if) he will hand the idol to Amber and vote out Rupert or Jenna.
If the immunity is won by Rob, and if he is not smart then he will keep it and Amber will go home.

Although there is supposed to be a 'big shock'. So one of the couples decides to split? Smart thing for Rupert or Jenna to do if Rob or Amber win the idol, not smart if they win. Maybe Rupert or Jenna win the idol and then Rob jumps off Amber's sinking ship. In reality it makes no difference but they might play it up to be a big shock.

So that's my prediction.