I'm not so sure.
I'm not so sure about a Coalition victory now. After reading the poll-bludgers guide something didn't add up. A very comprehensive guide to the seats, but the totals are completely out of date. I checked the count and he's tricking me into thinking he's predicting a Coalition victory, when he's actually predicting a Labor one. Update your count!
We may yet see a Labor win with a Coalition / Independent controlled upperhouse. That will lead to a double dissolution without a doubt. Double dissolutions favour the minor parties (lower threshold needed) so they have every incentive to be complicit in blocking supply.
I don't think it would necessarily happen early in the next term, but it would be almost certain to happen towards the end of it. Imagine all the triggers that could be ready to be voted on by a joint sitting.
Quite scary really. We haven't seen such momentous times since the 70's.
We may yet see a Labor win with a Coalition / Independent controlled upperhouse. That will lead to a double dissolution without a doubt. Double dissolutions favour the minor parties (lower threshold needed) so they have every incentive to be complicit in blocking supply.
I don't think it would necessarily happen early in the next term, but it would be almost certain to happen towards the end of it. Imagine all the triggers that could be ready to be voted on by a joint sitting.
Quite scary really. We haven't seen such momentous times since the 70's.
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