Tuesday, September 28, 2004

Senate Guide

Here's my Senate guide.

Likely scenario:

Coalition 37 seats
Labor+Democrat+Green 37 seats

Undecided 2 seats.

(1) South Australia
To be fought out between
-Meg Lees
-Greens
-Family First

(2) Queensland
To be fought out between
-Democrat
-Labor
-Green
-Independent

This leads to some fascinating scenarios. The most likely though is that the government (assuming a coalition victory) will NOT be able to get legislation through without support from one of Labor, the Greens or the Democrats. This will put them at a disadvantage to the current parliament where they can still use the independent senators to get legislation past those three parties.

If Labor were to win the election they will have extreme difficulty in the Senate.

Either way it is going to be harder in the next sitting period than the current one for legislation to pass.

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