Monday, October 11, 2004

W.A. Senate Update

Turning to my home stats where the vote counted stands at 74.82%

Current quotas:

Labor 2 quotas

Liberals 3.9 quotas
Greens 1.1 quotas

In an electorate of 1,237,349 people the conservatives look like falling 10,000 votes short of picking up a 4th seat. That's amazingly close and shows the scope of the conservative victory in the west.

It's also worth noting that the arguably deceptively named Liberals for Forests picked up almost 4,000 votes and sent them to the Greens.

If I find some time tomorrow afternoon I'll have a look at the Queensland senate race. It sounds like the Coalition look like winning 4 of the 6 seats in that state. This will give them a clear majority in the Senate without needing any votes from Family First.

I heard today (from someone in the know) that the reason Family First polled so badly in W.A. (only 0.78%) was because of their preference deal where they put the 'anti-Christian' Democrats ahead of the Liberal party. Apparently the word on the Christian street last week was to vote CDP (1.9% of the primary vote).

If this is true, then what I don't understand is why Family First outpolled the CDP convincingly in most of the other states where they made the same deal.

Victorian Christian voters presumably in retrospect think it was a good deal. Without the votes of the Democrats they would have been behind Labor and not been able to use Labor preferences to win the seat.

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