Thursday, August 16, 2007

Election Musings

Australian Election
I think what finally persuaded me that Labor will win was my daily reading of news.com.au.
It's amazing how every headline is spun in a negative way for the government at an organisation owned by News Corp. I do appreciate it's not an anti-coalition thing, personally I think they are just populist. The writing is on the wall for the coalition. The website tries to spin controversy with every byline and the government of the day suffers. If Labor were in power news.com.au would spin it against Labor.

Fortunately I think Rudd is not the person he pretends to be. I think he's actually quite conservative, and expect once in power we'll see the true Kevin, who won't be half as bad as the government make out.

US Election
I'm convinced now Hillary has the Democratic nomination sewn up. Obama's coming off looking like a clown, Edwards and Gore are too far behind.
The Republican nomination I believe is between Romney and Rudy. McCain has no chance, Thompson could catch fire, but I'd be surprised if he does. Very hard call between Romney and Rudy at this time as to who will be the candidate.

Surprisingly enough I'm not convinced the Democrats are going to win (even though the markets are fairly sure they will). I think the Republicans have a chance at the Presidency, but they are likely to remain minorities in both the House and the Senate.

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